Evidence first.
Then the signal.

Daily BUY / HOLD / SELL stances for $DOG and Bitcoin, built for swing horizons – weeks to years, not hours. Every verdict ships with its full evidence docket: trend, momentum, futures positioning, and crowd sentiment, triangulated and scored in the open.

timeframe basis: daily + weekly candles recompute: every 4 hours stance changes: rare by design

Evidence docket

Signal history

–hit-rate shown honestly, misses included

BUY HOLD SELL

Methodology

Trend · 35% BTC / 30% $DOG

200d SMA distance, 50/200 cross state, weekly 21 EMA slope. The backbone for swing horizons.

Momentum · 25% BTC / 20% $DOG

Weekly + daily RSI(14), daily MACD(12,26,9). Weekly extremes outrank daily wiggles.

Futures · 20% BTC / 15% $DOG

Funding rates, open-interest-vs-price divergence, positioning ratios. Crowding is contrarian.

Sentiment · 20% BTC / 15% $DOG

Fear & Greed, Google search interest, and live X chatter, scored contrarian at extremes.

On-Chain · 20% ($DOG only)

MVRV ratio, supply in profit/loss, holder-count trend – real Bitcoin L1 data via dogdata.xyz's own full node.

What this is – and isn't. These signals identify conditions that have historically favored accumulation or distribution on swing timeframes. They do not predict the future. $DOG's price history begins April 2024, so weekly-indicator validation is thinner than BTC's, and thinner liquidity means it can gap through technical levels. Composite must clear ±0.60 to change stance – expect signals to change rarely. Where data is missing or too thin to trust (marked "data limitation"), it is displayed but never counted.

Cryptograss Man

owner & operator · $DOG community · @CryptograssM on X ↗